Preparing for the Twenty-first Century

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Random House, 1993 - 428 páginas
Human history has always been shaped by the growth and migration of populations, by the opportunities and constraints provided by the environment, and by the rise of new technologies. Today, these forces are enmeshed in a state of unprecedented turbulence. World population has more than doubled in the past forty years to reach its current level of 5.5 billion, and it will exceed 8 billion and perhaps even 10 billion early in the next century. How will these vast numbers reshape the world's borders, strain an already fragile ecosystem, and remake politics? New technologies are even now replacing traditional work with radically new systems of production and communication, promising enormous changes in both industrial and traditional agricultural societies. Will potential developments in biotechnology render traditional food producers obsolete? What is the role of robotics in a world where millions of new jobs are needed each year to absorb the fast-growing population? And what will the roles of women be? How will the spread of AIDS affect the rapid growth of population in countries like India or those of central Africa? And how will all these complex, mutually dependent changes affect individual nations as they struggle with their own ethnic and economic pressures, including the inevitability of ever larger migrations from poorer to richer parts of the world as populations explode in less developed regions and decline in such areas as Japan, parts of North America, and the European continent? Given their historic behavior, how will Japan, the United States, and Europe - as well as the countries of Asia, Africa, and Latin America - be likely to respond to these unprecedented circumstances?What is the role of education in a two- or three-tier world? Professor Kennedy's classic The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers considered the forces within nations that led to their rise and fall. In Preparing for the Twenty-first Century Kennedy addresses a larger and uniquely modern question: how will transnational forces in a world of scarce resources, instant communications, and exploding population affect the nations of the world and the people who inhabit them as the new century dawns?

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PREPARING FOR THE TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY

Crítica de los usuarios  - Kirkus

After reading this gloomy exercise in futurology, even the most cockeyed optimists will feel justified in hiding under their bedcovers as the turn of the century approaches. Kennedy (History/Yale Univ ... Leer comentario completo

LibraryThing Review

Crítica de los usuarios  - DavidWineberg - LibraryThing

One of the great gifts of Paul Kennedy is perspective. He takes you up and lets you look at things from a distance, putting them in perspective. So it was with great anticipation that I read this book ... Leer comentario completo

Contenido

The Demographic Explosion
21
The Communications and Financial Revolution and the Rise of
47
World Agriculture and the Biotechnology Revolution
65
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Acerca del autor (1993)

Paul Kennedy is the author or editor of thirteen books, including "Preparing for the Twenty-first Century" and T"he Rise and Fall of the Great Powers," which has been translated into more than twenty languages. He serves on the editorial board of numerous scholarly journals and has written for "The New York Times," "Los Angeles Times," "The Atlantic Monthly," and several other publications. Educated at Newcastle University and Oxford University, he is a former fellow of the Institute for Advanced Studies at Princeton University and of the Alexander von Humboldt-Stiftung in Bonn.

The American Pageant" has long enjoyed a reputation as one of the most accessible, popular, and effective textbooks in the field of American history. Its authors, Thomas A. Bailey and David M. Kennedy, now joined by Lizabeth Cohen, have sustained and enhanced the key features that strongly distinguish the "Pageant" from other American history textbooks and make it both appealing and useful to countless students: clarity, concreteness, a consistent chronological narrative, strong emphasis on major themes, avoidance of clutter, access to a variety of interpretive perspectives, and a colorful writing style leavened, as appropriate, with wit.

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